URA Q2 2026 Flash Estimates: Singapore Private Home Prices Rise +0.5%, CCR Leads as RCR and OCR Soften

by Lovelyhomes Editorial Team | Jul 1, 2026 | Buying Guide, Investment Analysis, Market Reports, Price Trends, Property Investment, Property Reviews & Analysis, Resources & Tools

The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) released the flash estimate for the private residential property price index for 2nd Quarter 2026 on 1 July 2026. The headline number — a +0.5% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) increase — represents a notable deceleration from the +0.9% recorded in Q1 2026, and is driven by diverging performances across market segments: the Core Central Region (CCR) surging, while the Rest of Central Region (RCR) and the Outside Central Region (OCR) softened on a quarterly basis.

Quick Answer — Key Numbers

Overall PPI: +0.5% QoQ in Q2 2026 (vs +0.9% in Q1 2026).
Non-landed (overall): -0.1% QoQ (vs +1.3% in Q1 2026).
Core Central Region (CCR): +2.0% QoQ — the strongest performing segment.
Rest of Central Region (RCR): -1.4% QoQ — the weakest performing segment.
Outside Central Region (OCR): -0.2% QoQ (vs +2.2% in Q1 2026).
Landed properties: +2.6% QoQ — a sharp reversal from -0.4% in Q1 2026.
Transaction volume: 5,420 units (up to mid-June 2026) — broadly comparable to 5,413 in Q1 2026.
Full-year 2026 GLS Confirmed List: 9,320 units — over 50% above the 10-year annual average.
Full Q2 2026 real estate statistics are due from URA on 24 July 2026.

The Q2 2026 Flash Estimate in Context

Flash estimates are preliminary figures compiled by URA based on stamp duty data and developer sales data from 1 April 2026 to mid-June 2026. They are inherently incomplete — the final figures released on 24 July 2026 will incorporate the full quarter’s transactions and typically differ by a modest margin from the flash estimate. URA cautions that “the public is advised to interpret the flash estimates with caution.”

With that caveat noted, the Q2 2026 flash estimate signals a meaningful shift in the composition of price growth. After a broad-based Q1 2026 rally — where OCR non-landed prices surged +2.2% and the overall index rose +0.9% — Q2 2026 shows the market rotating: luxury and landed properties strengthened, while mass-market and mid-tier segments gave back some of Q1’s gains.

Segment-by-Segment Analysis

URA private residential property price change Q1 vs Q2 2026 flash estimate CCR RCR OCR landed Singapore — Figure 1: Quarter-on-quarter price change by market segment — Q1 2026 actual vs Q2 2026 flash estimate. Source: URA Real Estate Statistics Flash Estimate, 1 July 2026.

Core Central Region (CCR) — +2.0% QoQ: The prime districts (Districts 1–4 and 9–11) outperformed all other segments in Q2 2026. The CCR had been relatively subdued in Q1 2026 (+0.6% QoQ) as the 60% ABSD for foreigners continued to dampen overseas buyer interest. The Q2 2026 rebound suggests domestic high-net-worth and upgrader demand — supported by declining SORA rates from their 2023–2024 peaks — is reasserting itself. The CCR also benefits from limited new supply relative to other segments. This is consistent with the observed trend of luxury landed and GCB (Good Class Bungalow) transactions picking up in the first half of 2026.

Rest of Central Region (RCR) — -1.4% QoQ: The RCR — covering areas such as Toa Payoh, Bishan, Tiong Bahru, and Queenstown — recorded the sharpest quarterly decline. This is likely a partial correction after strong new launch activity in prior quarters pushed RCR prices higher. As developers digested existing inventory and new launch momentum slowed, transacted prices softened. The RCR remains well above its Q1 2025 levels on a year-on-year basis.

Outside Central Region (OCR) — -0.2% QoQ: The OCR, which includes suburban regions such as Jurong, Tampines, Sengkang, and Punggol, saw a modest dip after its strong Q1 2026 performance (+2.2% QoQ). This retreat is consistent with the broader pattern of HDB upgrader demand normalising as the pool of HDB households completing the five-year MOP works through the system. Developer sales volumes in the OCR remained healthy, but headline prices moderated.

Landed properties — +2.6% QoQ: Landed homes (terraced houses, semi-detached, bungalows, and Good Class Bungalows) posted the strongest quarterly gain and reversed the -0.4% QoQ decline recorded in Q1 2026. Landed supply is structurally limited — only Singapore Citizens can purchase most landed property — and demand from citizens seeking generational family homes has remained firm. The combination of limited new landed supply, declining mortgage rates, and resilient household wealth among long-tenured Singapore Citizens supported this rebound.

Segment	Q1 2026 QoQ	Q2 2026 QoQ (Flash)	Key Driver
Overall PPI	+0.9%	+0.5%	Deceleration; landed and CCR offset OCR/RCR softening
Non-landed (all)	+1.3%	-0.1%	RCR and OCR drag outweigh CCR gain
CCR (Core Central)	+0.6%	+2.0%	Luxury demand, declining rates, domestic upgrader activity
RCR (Rest of Central)	+0.8%	-1.4%	Post-launch correction; new supply absorption
OCR (Outside Central)	+2.2%	-0.2%	HDB upgrader normalisation; MOP pipeline moderating
Landed	-0.4%	+2.6%	Structural scarcity, SC-only demand, rate environment

Transaction Volume: Stable Demand

Sale transaction volume in Q2 2026 stood at approximately 5,420 units (up to mid-June 2026), compared to 5,413 in Q1 2026. URA describes this as “broadly comparable,” indicating that buyer activity has not meaningfully contracted despite the overall price deceleration. This stable transaction count, combined with decelerating prices, is consistent with a market that is finding equilibrium rather than declining.

Supply Pipeline: Government Accelerating Delivery

URA 2026 GLS confirmed list 9320 units and quarterly private residential transaction volume Singapore — Figure 2: Left — 2026 GLS Confirmed List units by half-year. Right — quarterly private residential sale transaction volume Q1 2025 to Q2 2026 (partial). Source: URA Real Estate Statistics; GLS Programme announcements 2026.

The government is maintaining a deliberate high supply stance. In 2H2026, a further 4,745 private residential units will be launched under the Confirmed List, bringing the full-year 2026 Confirmed List total to 9,320 units — over 50% higher than the past 10-year annual average of approximately 6,200 units per year. Including Executive Condominiums, approximately 61,000 private residential units are expected to be completed over the coming years, a significant pipeline that URA believes will ensure housing demand is met and price stability is maintained.

This supply commitment is a significant policy signal. It suggests the government does not intend to ease supply constraints even as price growth moderates, reinforcing the view that the cooling measures and ABSD framework are working as intended — slowing speculation without triggering price declines.

What This Means for Buyers, Sellers, and Investors

For buyers, the Q2 2026 data offers a nuanced picture. The mass market (OCR) and mid-tier (RCR) segments are showing mild softening — suggesting that patient buyers may find slightly better negotiating conditions in these segments than they did in Q1 2026. The CCR and landed markets, however, are moving in the opposite direction: buyers in these segments should not expect discounts. The high supply pipeline is a medium-term comfort: completions over the next few years should provide genuine choice and prevent runaway price inflation. However, the pipeline has not yet translated into meaningful price softening, suggesting underlying demand remains robust.

For sellers, the Q2 data does not indicate a price collapse. Year-on-year growth remains positive across all segments, and the overall PPI is still trending upward, albeit modestly. Sellers in well-positioned OCR and RCR projects who have held for several years remain in a strong position. The SSD framework (12%/8%/4%/NIL for years 1–4) means that sellers who purchased in 2024 or later face significant exit costs if selling within the SSD window.

For investors, the data reinforces the divergence between segments. CCR and landed are the standout performers in Q2 2026. The 60% foreigner ABSD remains a barrier for non-resident investors, but for Singapore Citizens with the means to invest in CCR or landed property, Q2 2026 shows meaningful appreciation. For OCR investors, the combination of high supply, modest price growth, and stable rental yields suggests a more measured outlook for capital appreciation over the near term.

What Might Come Next: Full Q2 Data on 24 July 2026

The flash estimate is compiled on approximately 75% of the full quarter’s transactions. The final figures, due 24 July 2026, will incorporate the complete Q2 2026 transaction set and may revise the initial numbers upward or downward. Historically, flash-to-final revisions for the Singapore private residential PPI have been small (typically within 0.2–0.4 percentage points). Analysts and market participants will also be watching for the detailed breakdown by property type, floor area, and specific district — context that flash estimates do not provide.

Beyond the Q3 2026 data, the key macro variables are: MAS exchange rate management and global trade uncertainty (the July 2026 economic environment remains “highly uncertain” per URA’s own framing), Federal Reserve policy direction, the HDB resale market trajectory (which feeds upgrader demand for OCR private condos), and developer launch volumes in 2H2026. The 2H2026 GLS Confirmed List launches, if absorbed at decent pricing, will provide a fresh read on developer confidence and buyer appetite going into 2027.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the URA Private Residential Property Price Index (PPI)?

The URA PPI is a quarterly index compiled by the Urban Redevelopment Authority tracking changes in private residential property prices in Singapore. It covers all non-landed private residential transactions (apartments and condominiums) across the CCR, RCR, and OCR, as well as landed residential properties (terraced houses, semi-detached, bungalows). The index uses a hedonic regression methodology to control for changes in the quality mix of transactions, so a change in the PPI reflects a genuine price change rather than a change in the type of units sold. The full methodology is available on the URA website.

Why did CCR outperform while RCR and OCR declined in Q2 2026?

The divergence reflects two distinct demand drivers. CCR demand is primarily driven by domestic high-net-worth buyers, ultra-high-net-worth families, and some foreign buyers (despite the 60% ABSD). This cohort is less interest-rate sensitive and more influenced by portfolio diversification and lifestyle considerations. The CCR has also had limited new supply recently. RCR and OCR demand, by contrast, is driven more by the upgrader segment — HDB families completing their MOP and seeking private homes. This segment is more price-sensitive, and after a strong Q1 2026 driven by several new launch openings, some cooling was natural as those launches digested inventory.

Does the +0.5% QoQ increase mean property prices are still rising?

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, yes — the overall index still increased by 0.5% in Q2 2026. The PPI has not declined. Year-on-year growth (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2026) will be clearer when the full Q2 2025 data is confirmed as the base. The deceleration from +0.9% in Q1 2026 to +0.5% in Q2 2026 is meaningful but not alarming in the context of Singapore’s historical property cycle. As context: the index fell sharply in 2022 after cooling measures were introduced, and the recovery from 2023 onward has been gradual and measured.

What impact does the 9,320-unit GLS pipeline have on prices?

Supply additions work with a lag — land sold today typically enters the market as completed units two to four years later. The 9,320-unit 2026 GLS Confirmed List, together with the broader 61,000-unit pipeline of completions expected over the coming years, should exert a moderating influence on prices over the medium term. However, if economic conditions remain supportive and demand is sustained, large supply additions may simply be absorbed without sharp price declines. Singapore’s housing demand is underpinned by population growth, household formation, and the continued desire for private homeownership among its relatively affluent resident population.

When will the full Q2 2026 real estate statistics be released?

URA will release the full set of Q2 2026 real estate statistics, including the finalised PPI, rental index, number of units in the pipeline, and detailed transaction data by district and property type, on 24 July 2026. This release will also cover the private rental market, development pipeline, and unsold inventory. LovelyHomes will update this article and publish additional analysis once the full data is available.

Disclaimer: This article is produced for general informational and editorial commentary purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or property advice. Property market statistics, index values, and GLS programme details are sourced from URA’s official releases. Flash estimates are preliminary and subject to revision on 24 July 2026. LovelyHomes is not responsible for investment decisions made on the basis of this commentary. Always consult licensed financial advisers and CEA-registered property salespersons before making property purchase or investment decisions. Primary source: URA press release, 1 July 2026.

Singapore Property Market Forecast 2H 2026: Price Outlook, Key Risks and What Buyers Should Know

by Lovelyhomes Editorial Team | Jun 28, 2026 | Buying Guide, Financial Planning, Investment Analysis, Market News, Market Reports, Price Trends, Property Finance, Property Investment, Property Reviews & Analysis, Resources & Tools

Quick Answer: Singapore Property Market Forecast 2H 2026

Private residential prices rose 0.9% QoQ and 2.63% YoY in Q1 2026, with the Outside Central Region (OCR) leading at +2.2% QoQ — price growth is positive but moderating.
HDB resale recorded its first quarterly dip (-0.1% QoQ) since Q2 2019; index sits at 203.4. Not a crash — more of a pause after a five-year run.
2H 2026 GLS launches 9 confirmed-list sites (4,745 units), adding meaningful supply to OCR and RCR. Pricing discipline from developers is expected.
Key risk: interest rates remain elevated at 3.0–3.5% for bank mortgages; affordability is stretched for many first-time buyers.
Key catalyst: any US Federal Reserve rate cut signals would unlock significant pent-up demand — watch the September and December 2026 Fed meetings.
For buyers: fundamentals remain sound — Singapore’s employment is near-full, rental demand supports investment yield, and supply is finite. Timing the market is less reliable than time in the market.
URA Q2 2026 Flash Estimates are expected in early July 2026 and will be the next major data point.

H1 2026 in Review: Where the Singapore Property Market Stands

As the calendar turns to the second half of 2026, Singapore’s property market presents a nuanced picture. Private residential prices continued their gradual upward trajectory in Q1 2026, with the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) reporting a Property Price Index (PPI) increase of 0.9% quarter-on-quarter — a modest but consistent gain that extends a trend stretching back to the post-pandemic recovery that began in mid-2020. On a year-on-year basis, the private residential index is up 2.63%, a pace that is firm but well below the double-digit growth seen during the post-pandemic surge of 2021 to 2023.

The Housing Development Board’s Resale Price Index (RPI), however, told a slightly different story. At 203.4 in Q1 2026, the HDB resale market recorded a 0.1% quarterly decline — the first such dip since Q2 2019. This is not alarming in isolation: the index had surged more than 54% since its 2019 trough, and a modest pause is consistent with natural market digestion. What it does signal is that the exceptional run of HDB resale price appreciation is transitioning into a more measured phase.

Singapore property market H1 2026 key metrics scorecard URA HDB data — Figure 1: Singapore Property Market H1 2026 Key Metrics Scorecard — URA Q1 2026 Real Estate Statistics and HDB Resale Statistics.

Private Residential Market: A Three-Speed Story

The defining characteristic of Singapore’s private residential market in 2026 is regional divergence. The three planning zones administered by URA — the Core Central Region (CCR), Rest of Central Region (RCR), and Outside Central Region (OCR) — have performed at markedly different speeds in 2026.

The OCR is the undisputed pace-setter. A 2.2% quarterly gain in Q1 2026, following similar momentum in late 2025, reflects genuine demand from HDB upgraders — a cohort whose Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) clears in waves and who target mass-market new launches in the S$1.3M–S$1.8M range. The 2H 2026 GLS programme deliberately concentrates supply here (Tampines Street 94, Bayshore Road), which should moderate any further sharp price acceleration without causing a price correction.

The RCR recorded 0.8% QoQ growth — solid mid-field performance driven by a mix of first-time private buyers, professionals, and some foreign-related buying in the city-fringe. River Valley Green Parcel C (awarded June 2026 at a top bid of approximately S$1,730 psf ppr) is the headline indicator of developer confidence in this zone.

The CCR grew just 0.3% QoQ, a subdued reading that reflects several headwinds: the 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) on foreigners that has been in place since April 2023 continues to suppress international transaction volumes; and the global macro uncertainty discussed in the risk section below has weighed on ultra-high-net-worth discretionary buying. That said, CCR is not in distress — it remains a long-term beneficiary of Singapore’s family office growth and wealth inflows.

Singapore private residential price index CCR RCR OCR Q1 2026 regional trends — Figure 2: Singapore Private Residential Price Index by Region (Q1 2020–Q1 2026) and QoQ Change for Q1 2026. Source: URA Q1 2026 Real Estate Statistics.

HDB Resale Market: A Healthy Pause, Not a Reversal

Singapore’s HDB resale market has been one of the defining investment stories of the 2020s. From a low point in 2019 (RPI ≈ 132), prices surged to an index of 203.4 by Q1 2026 — a 54% cumulative increase. The Q1 2026 dip of 0.1% QoQ is, in that context, the market catching its breath after an exceptional run rather than a structural reversal.

Two counterintuitive data points reinforce this view. First, million-dollar HDB transactions reached a record quarterly high of 412 in Q1 2026 — indicating that at the premium end of the resale market (large mature-estate flats, high-floor units in sought-after towns), demand remains fierce. Second, overall HDB resale transaction volumes for Q1 2026 remained healthy, with four-room flats accounting for the largest share (approximately 2,690 transactions in Q1 2026 alone) at a median price of around S$575,000.

For 2H 2026, the HDB resale market is likely to remain range-bound rather than sharply appreciating or correcting. MOP cohorts from the 2016–2019 BTO launches are gradually clearing, releasing units back to the resale market — but supply from this channel is relatively thin compared to the 2013–2016 peak cycle. Demand remains supported by couples who cannot access BTO (due to income ceiling, citizenship mix, or urgency) and Permanent Residents who remain ineligible to buy BTO directly.

Developer Sales and the New Launch Pipeline

Developer sales activity is the indicator most directly shaped by new launch timing. The monthly data tells a story of feast and famine: January to April 2026 saw 1,120, 895, 1,348 and 1,548 units sold respectively — solid months driven by a cluster of project launches. May 2026 crashed to 447 units (-71.1% month-on-month), not because demand evaporated, but because there were few projects launching that month.

The pipeline going into 2H 2026 remains substantial. URA data shows 17,032 unsold units in the private pipeline as of Q1 2026 (total pipeline including units not yet launched: 42,561). The 2H 2026 GLS Confirmed List adds nine further sites including Lentor Gardens Parcel A and B, Bayshore Road, Tampines Street 94, and an EC site at Jurong East. These launches are phased across 2H 2026 into 2027, so the impact on completed supply will be felt primarily in 2028–2030.

Rental Market: Correction Underway, Yields Compressing

Singapore’s private residential rental market began correcting in 2024 after a record two-year surge and that correction extended into 2026. The URA rental index fell 1.2% QoQ in Q1 2026, following declines across 2024 and 2025. In absolute terms, rents remain significantly above their pre-pandemic levels — a 2BR in D15 that rented for S$2,800/month in 2019 may still command S$4,200–S$4,800/month in 2026 depending on specification — but the exceptional post-pandemic pricing has normalised.

For investors, this rental correction compresses gross yields. A S$1.5M 2BR in the RCR yielding S$4,500/month gross generates a gross yield of approximately 3.6%, which is broadly comparable to bank deposit rates in 2026. Net yield after management fees, property tax, and maintenance is lower — making the case for property investment in 2026 primarily a capital appreciation thesis rather than a pure income play.

2H 2026 Market Outlook Summary

Segment	Base Case	Bull Case	Bear Case
Private Residential (Overall)	+1%–2% for full year 2026	+3%–4% if rates ease and demand recovers	Flat to -1% if global recession deepens
OCR (Mass Market)	Continues outperforming; +2%–3% YoY	+4%–5% with strong HDB upgrader demand	Supply pressure from GLS launches moderates gains
RCR (City Fringe)	Steady +1%–2% YoY	+3% with new launch interest	Flat if affordability ceiling is hit
CCR (Core Central)	Sideways to +1%; foreign buyer ABSD drag	+2%–3% if ABSD reviewed or wealth inflows surge	-1%–2% if global HNW sentiment deteriorates
HDB Resale	±0.5% QoQ; range-bound in H2	+1%–2% if upgrader demand stays robust	-1% if affordability stress bites flat demand
Private Rental	Further -2%–4% as supply catches up	Stabilises if employment influx resumes	Deeper correction if expat headcount falls

Worked Example: The Chen Family — Buy in 2H 2026 or Wait?

Mr and Mrs Chen are Singapore Citizens in their early 30s. They have cleared their HDB MOP on their Bishan 4-room flat and are looking to upgrade to a 3-bedroom OCR condo. They have combined income of S$13,500 per month, CPF OA savings of S$180,000, and cash of S$120,000.

They are eyeing a 3BR at an upcoming OCR launch in Q3 2026 priced at S$1.65M. Under the ABSD SC couple remission scheme, they can purchase the new condo and claim a full refund of the 20% ABSD (S$330,000) provided they sell their HDB flat within six months of the condo purchase date.

Key numbers: BSD S$47,600 (payable from CPF); ABSD S$330,000 (cash, but refundable within six months of HDB sale); 5% cash S$82,500; legal fees ~S$5,500. Bank loan: 75% LTV = S$1,237,500 at 3.2% over 30 years → monthly repayment approximately S$5,338. TDSR = S$5,338 ÷ S$13,500 = 39.5% (PASS, under 55%). Total cash needed upfront: ~S$208,000 (cash component + ABSD float pending HDB sale).

Should they wait? If OCR prices rise another 2% by Q1 2027, the same unit would cost S$1,683,000 — an additional S$33,000. If interest rates fall 50 bps by then, monthly repayments fall by ~S$300/month. The calculus slightly favours acting when they are ready rather than trying to time the market precisely, provided the ABSD remission window can be managed. See our guide on ABSD remission for SC couples for the full rules.

What Might Come Next: Risks and Catalysts for 2H 2026

The Singapore property market operates at the intersection of domestic fundamentals (employment, wage growth, HDB upgrader cohorts) and global macro forces (US interest rates, geopolitical risk, capital flows). For the second half of 2026, both sides of that equation are in play.

Key downside risks include the persistence of elevated interest rates — if the US Federal Reserve holds rates through 2026 without cutting, Singapore bank mortgage rates (which track SORA and swap rates) will remain in the 3.0–3.5% range, keeping affordability stretched. Continued global trade disruptions from US tariff policy create a dampening effect on business investment sentiment and, indirectly, on expatriate headcounts and rental demand. China’s economic slowdown reduces the pool of Chinese-origin buyers who were historically active in the CCR.

Key upside catalysts include the prospect of Fed rate cuts in September or December 2026 — even one 25-basis-point cut would move Singapore’s forward rates and boost buyer confidence. Singapore’s own fundamentals remain strong: the unemployment rate is approximately 2.0%, wage growth is positive, and the Government’s managed-supply approach via the GLS programme means developers are not flooding the market with distressed inventory. Any relaxation of ABSD for permanent residents (which has been debated, though there is no official signal) would be an immediate CCR and RCR catalyst.

Singapore property market second half 2026 risks catalysts analysis — Figure 3: Singapore Property Market 2H 2026 — Key Risks vs Catalysts. Editorial assessment as at June 2026. Not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Singapore property prices drop in 2H 2026?

A broad price correction in 2H 2026 is not the base-case scenario for most analysts. Singapore’s property market is underpinned by limited land supply, robust employment, and the Government’s disciplined GLS programme which calibrates supply to demand. The most likely outcome for 2H 2026 is modest positive growth in the private residential segment (0%–2% for the full year in a base case) and range-bound movement in HDB resale. A sharp correction would require a confluence of events unlikely to materialise simultaneously: a major spike in unemployment, a severe global financial shock, and a government decision to release large additional land supply. None of these is the current outlook.

When will the URA Q2 2026 Flash Estimates be released?

Based on URA’s established release pattern, the Q2 2026 Flash Estimates for the private residential property price index are expected in the first week of July 2026 — likely 1 or 2 July. The full Q2 2026 real estate statistics (including detailed regional breakdowns, rental index, and developer sales data) typically follow approximately three to four weeks later. The flash estimate gives a preliminary QoQ price change figure; the full release provides granular transaction and rental data. LovelyHomes will publish a dedicated analysis article as soon as the data is available.

What does the HDB resale -0.1% dip in Q1 2026 actually mean for sellers?

A -0.1% quarterly change in the HDB Resale Price Index is, in practical terms, negligible. On a S$600,000 flat, it represents a S$600 notional price movement — far smaller than the typical negotiation buffer in any individual transaction. What it signals is a shift in market psychology: buyers are less willing to pay premiums above valuation (Cash-Over-Valuation, or COV), and the exceptional seller’s market conditions of 2021–2024 have normalised. Sellers should still expect good prices — the index is 54% above its 2019 trough — but they should set realistic expectations and price to comparable transactions rather than aspirationally. For guidance on reading HDB data, see our HDB Resale Price Index Guide.

Is this a good time to buy a private property in Singapore?

This depends entirely on your personal financial circumstances, intended holding period, and purpose. If you are buying for genuine owner-occupation (primary home or long-term family residence), timing the market precisely is less important than buying within your means — ensuring your TDSR is comfortable, that you have adequate cash reserves, and that your loan tenor is appropriate. If you are buying as an investment (rental yield or capital appreciation), you need to stress-test the numbers at current mortgage rates (3.0–3.5%) and assess whether the rental yield justifies the carrying cost. For a personalised assessment, consult a licensed financial adviser and a property professional. See also our Singapore Property Financing Guide for a full breakdown of LTV, TDSR, and MSR rules.

How does the 2H 2026 GLS supply affect new launch prices?

The 2H 2026 Government Land Sales Confirmed List adds nine sites capable of yielding approximately 4,745 private and EC units. This is a substantial supply injection, particularly into the OCR and RCR. In theory, more supply means developers compete harder for buyers, which moderates launch prices. In practice, Singapore developers rarely slash prices — they tend to phase launches to match demand and hold firm on pricing. The more likely outcome is that new launches in 2H 2026 are priced at modest premiums (5%–8%) to recent comparables rather than at exceptional premiums. Buyers interested in specific sites such as Lentor Gardens Parcels A and B, Bayshore Road, or Tampines Street 94 should monitor the URA tender awards and developer launch announcements as they are made throughout 2H 2026. Full details of all 2H GLS sites are in our 2H 2026 GLS Programme Guide.

What is the ABSD rate for Singapore Citizens buying a second property in 2026?

A Singapore Citizen purchasing a second residential property pays 20% ABSD on the purchase price or market value, whichever is higher. This is paid in cash (CPF cannot be used for ABSD). For SC couples who own an HDB flat, the 20% ABSD on their second private property can be refunded under the SC Couple ABSD Remission Scheme, provided the HDB flat is sold within six months of the completion of the private property purchase. The full rules are detailed in our ABSD Remission Guide and Complete ABSD Singapore 2026 Guide.

How do I track the Singapore property market between official URA releases?

Between URA quarterly releases, you can monitor real-time trends through several free sources. The URA REALIS portal (accessible via My SingPass) provides transaction-level data for private residential properties. The HDB Resale Flat Prices portal shows individual HDB transactions. SRX Property and EdgeProp Singapore publish weekly market commentaries based on caveats lodged. The Business Times Real Estate section and Channel NewsAsia Property cover major announcements and tender results. For a guide on how to interpret the data you find, see our HDB Resale Price Index Guide and CCR RCR OCR Property Guide.

Disclaimer: This article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or property advice. All property market data is sourced from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and Housing Development Board (HDB) official releases as at Q1 2026. Property prices, interest rates, and government policies can change — readers should refer to the latest official URA (ura.gov.sg), HDB (hdb.gov.sg), MAS (mas.gov.sg), and IRAS (iras.gov.sg) publications and consult a licensed financial adviser or property professional before making any property-related decision. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Singapore Property Sentiment Q1 2026: NUS RESI Holds at 5.1 as Future Outlook Improves

by Lovelyhomes Editorial Team | Jun 26, 2026 | Investment Analysis, Market News, Market Reports, Price Trends, Property News, Property Reviews & Analysis

Quick Answer: NUS RESI Q1 2026 Sentiment at a Glance

The NUS Real Estate Sentiment Index (RESI) Composite Score for Q1 2026 came in at 5.1 — above the neutral threshold of 5.0 and marginally above Q4 2025’s reading of 5.0, indicating cautiously positive overall sentiment.
The Current Sentiment Sub-Index edged down to 4.9 (from 5.1 in Q4 2025), reflecting near-term caution amongst developers and real estate professionals about present market conditions.
The Future Sentiment Sub-Index rose to 5.3 (from 4.9 in Q4 2025), suggesting respondents expect conditions to improve over the next 6 months.
Residential sector sentiment was the strongest — net balance of +32%. Office sentiment was positive at +18%. Retail was flat (+2%). Industrial dipped into negative territory at -8%.
Key upside drivers cited: anticipated interest rate cuts (particularly by the US Federal Reserve in H2 2026), continued Singapore economic resilience, and steady demand from permanent residents and new citizens.
Key downside risks cited: elevated global uncertainty (US tariff policy, geopolitical tensions), affordability constraints for mass-market buyers, and continued supply completion of new private units.

NUS RESI Q1 2026: Singapore Property Sentiment Holds Cautiously Positive

The National University of Singapore’s Real Estate Sentiment Index (NUS RESI) is published quarterly by the Institute of Real Estate and Urban Studies (IREUS). It surveys developers, fund managers, real estate investment trust (REIT) managers, consultants, and bankers active in Singapore’s property market — producing both a composite score and sector-specific net balance figures. A composite score above 5.0 signals net positive sentiment; below 5.0 signals net negative. The index has been running since 2010 and has tracked cycles through the global financial crisis aftermath, the 2013 cooling measures, the COVID-19 period, and the post-pandemic surge of 2021–2023.

For Q1 2026, published on 23 June 2026, the composite reading of 5.1 continues a broadly positive but subdued trend that has characterised sentiment since the sharp correction of 2H 2023 (when the composite dropped to 4.6 following the April 2023 ABSD hike to 60% for foreigners). The gradual recovery to above 5.0 suggests that market participants have absorbed the cooling measures and are cautiously constructive, particularly about H2 2026 prospects tied to potential global rate reductions.

NUS RESI sentiment index Q1 2026 Singapore property market by sector — Figure 1: NUS RESI Q1 2026 — Composite, Current and Future Sentiment sub-indices (left panel), and net balance by property sector: Residential (+32%), Office (+18%), Retail (+2%), Industrial (-8%) (right panel). Source: NUS IREUS, June 2026.

Current Sentiment Softens; Future Outlook Improves

The most notable development in Q1 2026’s RESI is the divergence between the Current and Future sub-indices. The Current sub-index — measuring how respondents view conditions right now — edged down to 4.9, dipping fractionally below the neutral mark. This reflects a cautious view of the present environment: while transaction volumes in Q1 2026 were reasonable (approximately 4,200 new private home sales based on preliminary URA caveats data), they remain well below the frenzied pace of 2021–2022. The high absolute price levels, combined with interest rates that remain elevated relative to 2019–2020 norms, are constraining affordability and keeping first-time buyer demand somewhat suppressed.

The Future sub-index, however, rose to 5.3 — its highest reading since Q1 2024. This forward optimism is driven by two main factors. First, Singapore’s macro environment remains robust: the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) forecast for 2026 GDP growth is 1–3%, employment remains near-full, and wage growth continues. Second, the market expects US Federal Reserve rate cuts — potentially two 25-basis-point reductions in H2 2026 — to translate into lower SIBOR and SORA rates in Singapore, reducing the cost of floating-rate mortgages and potentially stimulating demand from HDB upgraders who have deferred their private property purchase.

Residential Sector: Net Balance +32%, the Strongest Across All Sectors

Among the four property sectors tracked, residential was clearly the standout in Q1 2026 with a net balance of +32% — meaning 32% more respondents viewed residential prospects positively than negatively. This sustained positive reading reflects several structural factors:

Supply pipeline is manageable. Despite a large number of completions expected in 2024 and 2025 (with approximately 18,000–20,000 new private units completing over that two-year window), the government’s timely tapering of GLS supply from 2024 means the 2026–2027 pipeline is thinner. Fewer new launches create less price competition for existing stock.

Demand from permanent residents and new citizens. While foreign buyer demand has been sharply curtailed by the 60% ABSD since April 2023, demand from Singapore Permanent Residents (PRs) and new citizens continues to support the market at mid-range price points, particularly in the OCR and RCR.

HDB upgrader cohort remains active. BTO flat buyers from the 2018–2020 tranches are progressively completing their 5-year MOPs in 2023–2025. As these flat owners gain the ability to sell their HDB flats (at a profit in most cases, given the HDB resale price appreciation of 2020–2023) and purchase private property, they constitute a steady pipeline of demand.

Commercial and Industrial Sectors: More Cautious Readings

Office sentiment was positive at +18%, supported by Grade A CBD office take-up from technology, financial services, and private equity firms — though tempered by awareness that flexible working arrangements continue to suppress net absorption relative to pre-COVID peak levels. The completion of several new Grade A towers in the Marina Bay and Tanjong Pagar areas between 2024 and 2026 has added supply to the market.

Retail sentiment was essentially flat at +2%, reflecting a bifurcated market: prime Orchard Road and suburban heartland malls continue to perform well on footfall and rental, while secondary retail corridors face pressure from e-commerce displacement and changing consumer behaviour. The rebound in Singapore tourism post-COVID has benefited F&B and experiential retail concepts.

Industrial sector sentiment slipped to -8%, driven primarily by concerns about the global manufacturing outlook (particularly electronics and semiconductor supply chains), rising industrial land prices (following strong JTC tender results in 2024–2025), and a cooling in the data centre development boom as both energy constraints and changing tech sector capital allocation patterns dampen new data centre take-up signals.

NUS RESI Q1 2026: Key Readings

Metric	Q1 2026	Q4 2025	Signal
Composite Score	5.1	5.0	▲ Marginally positive
Current Sentiment Sub-Index	4.9	5.1	▼ Slight softening
Future Sentiment Sub-Index	5.3	4.9	▲ Improved outlook
Residential net balance	+32%	+28%	▲ Strongest sector
Office net balance	+18%	+15%	▲ Steady positive
Retail net balance	+2%	+5%	▼ Essentially flat
Industrial net balance	-8%	-3%	▼ Turned negative

What the Q1 2026 RESI Reading Means for Buyers and Sellers

For private property buyers: The positive Future sub-index suggests that property professionals expect price conditions to improve — i.e., values could rise — over the next 6 months. Combined with a steady OCR and RCR price trajectory (URA’s Q1 2026 flash estimates showed private residential prices up approximately 1.1% QoQ overall), buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines should note that the consensus expectation is for a gentle upward drift rather than a correction, particularly if interest rates ease in H2 2026 as anticipated.

For sellers: The broadly positive sentiment is constructive. However, the subdued Current sub-index is a reminder that absolute affordability constraints mean buyers are negotiating — days-on-market for private units remain elevated relative to the 2021–2022 peak. Sellers should price realistically relative to recent transacted comparable prices rather than 2022 peak values.

For HDB upgraders: The window for upgrading looks reasonably positive for the second half of 2026 if the rate-cut thesis plays out. A 50-basis-point reduction in SORA rates translates to approximately S$200–300/month savings on a S$800,000 mortgage — not life-changing, but meaningfully reducing the affordability premium of a private condo over an HDB flat.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the NUS RESI and how is it calculated?

The NUS Real Estate Sentiment Index (RESI) is a quarterly survey conducted by the NUS Institute of Real Estate and Urban Studies (IREUS). It surveys senior professionals in Singapore’s real estate industry — developers, fund managers, REIT managers, consultants, valuers, and bankers — asking them to rate current and future conditions on a 1–10 scale across four property sectors (residential, office, retail, industrial). The Composite Score is an average of the Current and Future sub-indices. A score above 5.0 indicates net positive sentiment; below 5.0 indicates net negative. The index has been published since 2010.

Why did the residential sector outperform commercial in Q1 2026?

Residential outperformed primarily due to three factors: (1) Singapore’s structural undersupply of private housing relative to long-term household formation, especially for smaller unit types; (2) continued demand from the HDB upgrader cohort (post-MOP flat owners seeking private property); and (3) supportive macro signals around rate cuts that most directly benefit highly leveraged residential buyers. Commercial property faces different headwinds — office from hybrid work, retail from e-commerce, industrial from global manufacturing uncertainty — that are less correlated to the interest-rate outlook.

Should I interpret a RESI score of 5.1 as a strong positive signal?

No. A reading of 5.1 is marginally above neutral — it signals cautious optimism, not exuberance. RESI scores in the 5.0–5.5 range generally correspond to stable, sideways market conditions with modest positive momentum. Strong positive readings (6.0+) have historically coincided with periods like 2021–2022. The current reading is better interpreted as “market professionals see a floor, expect gradual improvement, but are not pricing in a boom.” This is broadly consistent with what URA price index data and transaction volumes are showing.

What are the key risks that could push sentiment negative in H2 2026?

The three most-cited risks by RESI respondents in Q1 2026 were: (1) a deterioration in Singapore’s external trade environment, particularly if US tariff escalation materially reduces export demand and affects employment; (2) a surprise delay in Fed rate cuts — if US inflation proves stickier than expected and the Fed keeps rates “higher for longer”, Singapore mortgage rates would remain elevated; (3) a further unexpected tightening of property cooling measures, though most market participants regard another hike in ABSD (beyond the current 60% for foreigners) as unlikely given the market has already cooled substantially.

How does the NUS RESI relate to actual URA price index movements?

The RESI is a leading/coincident indicator of price sentiment rather than a direct predictor of price. Historically, there is a correlation: RESI composite scores consistently above 5.5 have tended to precede or coincide with quarters of meaningful URA private residential price index growth (1.5%+ QoQ). Conversely, composite scores below 4.5 have typically coincided with flat or negative URA index quarters. At 5.1, the RESI is broadly consistent with the URA Q1 2026 flash estimate of approximately +1.1% QoQ — steady and positive, but measured.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available NUS RESI Q1 2026 data released by NUS IREUS on 23 June 2026. Sentiment indices are survey-based and reflect professional opinion; they are not guarantees of future price movements. Past index readings have not consistently predicted future property prices, and property investment involves risks including illiquidity, price fluctuation, and financing risks. This article does not constitute investment advice. Buyers and sellers should conduct their own due diligence and consult qualified professionals.

Singapore Property Market Mid-Year Review 2026: H1 Results, Price Trends and 2H Outlook

by Lovelyhomes Editorial Team | Jun 24, 2026 | Buying Guide, Financial Planning, Investment Analysis, Market News, Market Reports, Price Trends, Property Finance, Property Investment, Property Reviews & Analysis, Resources & Tools

Quick Answer: Singapore Property Market Mid-Year Review 2026

Private prices up 0.9% QoQ in Q1 2026 — the sixth consecutive quarter of growth; Outside Central Region (OCR) leads at +2.2% QoQ.
HDB resale dips −0.1% QoQ to RPI 203.4 — the first quarterly decline since Q2 2019, though still +1.2% year-on-year.
Record 412 million-dollar HDB flats changed hands in Q1 2026, a new quarterly high despite the headline price softening.
Developer sales collapsed 71.1% MoM in May 2026 (447 units), reflecting a thin launch pipeline — only one project launched that month.
42,561 units in the pipeline (including ECs) with 17,032 unsold — providing a supply buffer that moderates price surges.
Private rental softened −1.2% QoQ in Q1 2026; vacancy edged to 6.2%, though OCR bucked the trend with a modest +1.0% rental gain.
2H2026 GLS programme launched 9 confirmed sites (4,745 units), including the Jurong Lake District white site and Orchard Boulevard.
River Valley Green Parcel C set a new CCR GLS benchmark at S$1,730 psf ppr (June 2026), signalling continued developer confidence in prime addresses.
BTO June 2026 released 6,952 flats across 7 projects, including the first new HDB in Bishan in 40 years — absorbing first-timer demand from the resale market.
Full-year 2026 private price growth forecast at ~3%; URA Q2 2026 flash estimates expected in the first week of July — watch for confirmation of the trend.

Introduction: Where Singapore Property Stands at Mid-Year 2026

Six months into 2026, Singapore’s property market has delivered a split verdict. The private residential sector continues its steady upward march — the URA Private Property Price Index (PPI) rose 0.9% in Q1 2026, its sixth consecutive quarterly gain. At the same time, the HDB resale market recorded a rare 0.1% quarterly dip for the first time in nearly seven years, a signal that affordability constraints are beginning to bite in the public housing segment even as million-dollar flat transactions set new records.

This mid-year review consolidates the key price, transaction, supply, and rental data published by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and the Housing & Development Board (HDB) through Q1 2026, and frames the outlook for the second half of the year. Whether you are a first-time buyer weighing an HDB flat, an upgrader eyeing a new launch condominium, or an investor managing a rental property portfolio, understanding the H1 2026 data is essential context for decisions made in the months ahead.

Private Residential Market: Sixth Consecutive Quarter of Growth

The URA’s Q1 2026 Real Estate Statistics confirmed a 0.9% quarter-on-quarter increase in the private residential PPI, bringing the index to 208.8. This builds on gains posted in every quarter since Q3 2024, and represents a 2.63% year-on-year improvement from Q1 2025.

The growth, however, is not uniform across regions. The Outside Central Region (OCR) — Singapore’s mass-market suburban segment — leads with a 2.2% QoQ gain and 3.8% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by newly launched projects in areas such as Tampines, Tengah, and Bukit Batok. The Rest of Central Region (RCR) came in second at +0.8% QoQ, while the Core Central Region (CCR) advanced only 0.3% QoQ — reflecting the combined drag of high absolute prices, the 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) on foreign purchasers, and a thinner pipeline of new launches in the prime districts.

Singapore private property price index PPI versus HDB resale price index RPI Q1 2020 to Q1 2026 chart — Figure 1: URA Private Property Price Index (PPI) vs HDB Resale Price Index (RPI), Q1 2020 – Q1 2026. PPI +0.9% QoQ to 208.8; RPI −0.1% QoQ to 203.4. Source: URA / HDB.

HDB Resale Market: First Price Dip in Seven Years

The HDB Resale Price Index (RPI) fell 0.1% in Q1 2026 to 203.4, the first quarterly decline since Q2 2019. While modest in numerical terms, the reversal ends a run of 26 consecutive quarters of price growth in the public resale market. On a year-on-year basis, the index remains 1.2% higher than Q1 2025, indicating that the longer-term trajectory of HDB prices is intact — this is a pause rather than a correction.

Transaction volumes, by contrast, accelerated sharply. HDB registered 6,179 resale transactions in Q1 2026, a 17.6% increase over Q4 2025’s 5,256 cases. This combination of higher volume alongside a slightly lower index is consistent with composition effects: more buyers are transacting in less mature estates or in smaller flat types, which pulls the index down even as demand itself remains solid.

Most strikingly, Q1 2026 saw a record 412 HDB resale flats change hands at S$1 million or above — surpassing the previous record. Executive flats and 5-room units in mature estates such as Queenstown, Bishan, and Toa Payoh account for the majority of these million-dollar transactions. The persistence of such transactions at elevated price points signals that a subset of buyers remains willing to pay premium prices for location, remaining lease, and flat condition.

Singapore private property price change by region CCR RCR OCR Q1 2026 grouped bar chart — Figure 2: Private Property Price Change by Region, Q1 2026. OCR leads at +2.2% QoQ, CCR lags at +0.3% QoQ. Source: URA Q1 2026 Real Estate Statistics.

New Launch and Developer Sales: Volatile Monthly Figures, Steady Fundamentals

Developer sales in Singapore fluctuate dramatically month to month, largely as a function of which projects happen to launch in any given period. May 2026 illustrated this vividly: only 447 new private homes were sold — a 71.1% month-on-month collapse from April 2026’s 1,548 units. This decline was not a market failure; it simply reflected the absence of major new launches, with only Hudson Place Residences (327 units in Balestier, 201 sold at an average S$2,458 psf) entering the market that month.

Year-to-date through May 2026, approximately 5,358 new private homes had been transacted — a healthy pace relative to 2025, which was itself a recovery year. The River Valley Green Parcel C Government Land Sales (GLS) tender, which closed on 18 June 2026, attracted four bids with the top offer of S$750.6 million (S$1,730 psf per plot ratio) from a Sunway-MCL-CSC Land joint venture. That result — a 22% premium over the adjacent Parcel B tender two years earlier — signals that developers remain confident in the absorption of prime CCR product, notwithstanding the 60% ABSD on foreign buyers.

Singapore new private home developer sales Jan to May 2026 bar chart and key H1 2026 metrics table — Figure 3: New Private Home Sales (Jan–May 2026) and Key H1 2026 Market Metrics. May 2026 dip reflects thin launch pipeline. Source: URA.

Rental Market: Supply Headwinds Keep Rents Soft

Singapore’s private residential rental index declined 1.2% in Q1 2026, continuing the softening trend that began after the 2023 peak. Vacancy rates edged up from 6.0% in Q4 2025 to 6.2% in Q1 2026, reflecting the cumulative effect of completions from the elevated 2023–2025 GLS award cycle reaching the market simultaneously. Median condominium rents in Q1 2026 were approximately S$3,600 per month for a 2-bedroom unit in the OCR and S$5,200 per month for a 3-bedroom unit.

The OCR rental sub-market was an exception to the softening, posting a +1.0% QoQ gain, supported by demand from foreign professionals holding Employment Passes and from local upgraders seeking interim accommodation while awaiting new home completions. The CCR, where per-square-foot rents at S$6.20 are highest, saw the sharpest decline (−0.5% QoQ) as tenant options widened. HDB rental remained more resilient, supported by tighter eligibility controls and a smaller rental pool relative to demand.

Landlords pricing competitively — particularly in the RCR, where PSF rents fell 1.2% QoQ to S$5.40 — are finding that well-maintained, well-located units continue to attract tenants quickly. Those with outdated furnishings or aggressive asking rents are facing extended vacancy periods of 30 to 60 days in some cases.

Supply Pipeline and the 2H2026 GLS Programme

As at Q1 2026, 42,561 units (including executive condominiums) held planning approval, with 17,032 remaining unsold. This supply overhang provides a structural moderating force on private residential prices — a concern acknowledged by analysts who forecast full-year 2026 private price growth in the 2% to 4% range, with consensus estimates clustering around 3%.

The Government announced the 2H2026 GLS Confirmed List on 3 June 2026, comprising nine sites with a combined yield of approximately 4,745 units. Key sites include: the Jurong Lake District (JLD) white site (mixed use, yielding approximately 1,760 residential units), Orchard Boulevard (approximately 485 units in the CCR), Lentor Gardens Parcels A and B, Bayshore Road (mixed use), and the Jurong East executive condominium site. These awards, once tendered and developed over the 2027–2030 horizon, will continue the government’s policy of maintaining adequate supply to prevent speculative price surges.

On the HDB side, the June 2026 BTO exercise launched 6,952 flats across seven projects in Ang Mo Kio, Bishan, Bukit Merah, Sembawang, and Woodlands. Notably, the Bishan Lakeview and Bishan Shunfu projects mark the first new HDB flats in the Bishan estate in over four decades — a significant milestone that generated substantial first-timer interest. With approximately 50% of the June 2026 BTO units classified as Plus or Prime (carrying enhanced restrictions including a 10-year Minimum Occupation Period and tighter rental and resale conditions), the absorption of first-timer demand from the resale market may ease more gradually than prior exercises.

Key H1 2026 Metrics at a Glance

Metric	Value / Change	Source / Notes
URA Private Property PPI (Q1 2026)	208.8 (+0.9% QoQ, +2.63% YoY)	URA Q1 2026 Real Estate Statistics
HDB Resale Price Index (Q1 2026)	203.4 (−0.1% QoQ, +1.2% YoY)	HDB Q1 2026 — first decline since Q2 2019
OCR Price Change (Q1 2026)	+2.2% QoQ / +3.8% YoY	URA — leads all regions
CCR Price Change (Q1 2026)	+0.3% QoQ / +1.2% YoY	URA — moderated by ABSD impact on foreign buyers
New Private Homes Sold (May 2026)	447 units (−71.1% MoM)	URA — thin launch month; one project launched
YTD Developer Sales (Jan–May 2026)	~5,358 units	URA — healthy pace vs 2025
HDB Resale Transactions (Q1 2026)	6,179 (+17.6% QoQ)	HDB — strong demand rebound
Million-Dollar HDB Flats (Q1 2026)	412 (new quarterly record)	HDB — 5-room / exec flats in mature estates
Private Pipeline (incl ECs)	42,561 units; 17,032 unsold	URA Q1 2026
Private Rental Index (Q1 2026)	−1.2% QoQ; vacancy 6.2%	URA — supply pressure from recent completions
River Valley Green Parcel C GLS	S$1,730 psf ppr (top bid)	URA tender closed 18 June 2026
2H2026 Confirmed GLS Supply	9 sites / ~4,745 units	URA / MND — announced 3 June 2026

Worked Example: The Lim Family — Deciding Whether to Buy in H2 2026

Mr and Mrs Lim are a Singapore Citizen couple with a combined gross monthly income of S$14,000. Their HDB flat in Tampines (5-room, purchased 2019) completed its 5-year Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) in 2024. They wish to upgrade to a condominium in the OCR — specifically, they are considering a 3-bedroom unit at an upcoming Tampines new launch priced at S$1.65 million.

As first-time private property purchasers (they currently own only the HDB flat), the ABSD position is as follows: under the SC Couple ABSD Remission Scheme, they may purchase the condo and pay 20% ABSD (S$330,000 in cash), then sell their HDB within 6 months of the condominium’s completion to qualify for a full ABSD refund. Alternatively, if they sell their HDB first, they become first-time private buyers and pay zero ABSD — but they would need interim rental accommodation, adding approximately S$3,200 to S$3,600 per month in rent costs. The BSD on S$1.65 million is S$47,600 (payable from CPF).

On the mortgage, with S$14,000 gross income and no other credit obligations, the maximum TDSR-55% exposure is S$7,700 per month. A 75% LTV loan of S$1,237,500 at 3.2% over 30 years costs approximately S$5,338 per month — representing a TDSR of 38.1%, comfortably within the limit. Their HDB CPF Ordinary Account balance of S$280,000 can fully cover the BSD and contribute toward the cash down payment. With H1 2026 data showing OCR prices rising fastest (+2.2% QoQ), waiting beyond 2026 carries the risk of further price appreciation — the Lim family’s analysis suggests buying now, with the ABSD remission strategy, offers the most cost-effective path.

Why H1 2026 Data Matters for Buyers, Sellers and Investors

The divergence between private and HDB price trends in Q1 2026 has meaningful implications across buyer segments. For HDB upgraders, the slight moderation in HDB resale prices — combined with continued OCR private price growth — may marginally compress the equity gain from a resale flat sale. However, the record pace of million-dollar HDB transactions indicates that well-located mature-estate flats continue to attract premium valuations, providing upgraders with strong exit equity.

For investors, the rental market data warrants careful attention. A 1.2% QoQ decline in private rental coupled with rising vacancy rates suggests that the yield compression of 2024–2025 is continuing into 2026. Gross yields in the CCR have compressed to approximately 2.6% — below the prevailing bank fixed deposit rate — prompting a reassessment of the investment case for prime rental properties. OCR yields remain more attractive at approximately 4.0% to 4.5%, supported by domestic upgrader demand for rentals.

For sellers, the RPI dip is a reminder that the HDB resale market is not a one-way escalator. The combination of a large June 2026 BTO exercise absorbing first-timer demand, a growing pool of alternative supply from Plus and Prime flats reaching resale eligibility in future years, and affordability constraints on younger buyers, suggests that HDB resale price growth in H2 2026 will remain modest.

What Might Come Next in H2 2026

Several events and data releases will shape Singapore’s property market in the second half of 2026. The URA Q2 2026 flash estimates — expected in the first week of July 2026 — will provide the first indication of whether the private market maintained its growth trajectory or softened in the April-to-June period. Analysts will be particularly focused on whether the OCR can sustain its outsized QoQ gains given that multiple new launches — including projects in Tengah and Bukit Timah — were scheduled for the quarter.

On the supply side, the Lorong Puntong GLS tender (0.43 ha, approximately 140 units, near Bright Hill MRT) was scheduled for launch in late June 2026, with results expected in Q3 2026. The Sembawang Drive executive condominium GLS site — the first EC in the north of Singapore to be tendered under the new 10-year MOP rules — will also attract close attention for its pricing implications on the EC market. Should these tenders attract aggressive bids — as River Valley Green Parcel C did — it would signal continued developer confidence despite rising completion volumes.

ABSD policy is, for the time being, unchanged. The current rates — 20% for Singapore Citizens purchasing a second property, 60% for foreigners — remain in place as structural cooling measures. Any adjustment would likely require a material deterioration in market fundamentals or a significant policy signal from the Ministry of National Development. For H2 2026, the base case among analysts is steady rates, steady growth of roughly 2% to 3%, and continued healthy transaction volumes in both HDB resale and new launches.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the PPI +0.9% in Q1 2026 mean for buyers?

The 0.9% quarterly gain in the URA Private Property Price Index (PPI) reflects the weighted average price movement across all private residential transactions in Q1 2026. For a buyer purchasing a S$1.5 million condominium, a 0.9% QoQ increase would translate to approximately S$13,500 of price appreciation in a single quarter — though individual property price movements vary significantly by location, project age, and unit attributes. The PPI is most useful as a market-wide temperature gauge rather than a predictor of any specific property’s trajectory. Buyers should note that OCR prices (+2.2% QoQ) rose substantially faster than the island-wide average, suggesting stronger near-term price momentum in suburban new launches.

Why did HDB resale prices dip in Q1 2026 despite record million-dollar transactions?

These two data points are not contradictory. The HDB Resale Price Index (RPI) uses a regression model that controls for flat type, floor area, remaining lease, and town — it measures the like-for-like price movement, stripping out changes in the composition of what transacted. In Q1 2026, a higher share of transactions occurred in non-mature estates and in smaller flat types, which mathematically pulled the index down even as premium flats in mature estates continued to transact at record prices. The 412 million-dollar transactions reflect demand for a specific niche of the HDB market — larger, well-located flats with long remaining leases — rather than the broad-based market captured by the RPI.

Should I wait for Q2 2026 data before making a buying decision?

Timing the market based on quarterly index releases is rarely a reliable strategy. By the time URA publishes Q2 2026 flash estimates (expected first week of July 2026), property prices will reflect conditions from April to June — data that is already two to three months old. More importantly, the index captures market-wide trends, not the specific property you intend to purchase. If a target property fits your financial capacity (TDSR and MSR within limits), your housing needs, and your long-term plans, waiting for one additional data point is unlikely to materially improve the outcome. The more useful discipline is ensuring your ABSD position is optimised and your mortgage is competitively priced before signing the Option to Purchase.

Is the private rental market going to keep falling in H2 2026?

The primary driver of private rental softening — elevated completions from the 2023–2025 construction cycle — will continue to exert downward pressure through at least mid-2027, as the bulk of the pipeline reaches the market. However, rental declines are unlikely to be severe because demand from foreign professionals (Employment Pass and S Pass holders) and domestic upgraders awaiting new home completion provides a floor. The OCR rental market, which already posted a positive 1.0% QoQ gain in Q1 2026, is likely to prove the most resilient. Landlords in the CCR should price realistically and invest in renovation quality to stand out in a market where tenants have expanding choices.

What is the significance of the River Valley Green Parcel C S$1,730 psf ppr bid?

The S$1,730 psf per plot ratio (psf ppr) top bid on River Valley Green Parcel C — submitted by a Sunway MCL and CSC Land joint venture — represents the highest CCR GLS land rate in Singapore’s history for that precinct. The psf ppr metric reflects the price paid per square foot of the site’s plot ratio (i.e., the total allowable gross floor area). When developers pay S$1,730 psf ppr, they typically need to sell the resulting apartments at approximately S$2,800 to S$3,200 psf to achieve acceptable returns after construction costs, professional fees, financing costs, and developer profit. This benchmarks what buyers can expect the eventual River Valley Green project — likely marketed in 2027 or 2028 — to be priced at upon launch.

How does the 2H2026 GLS programme affect buyers of new launches?

The nine confirmed list sites in the 2H2026 GLS programme — comprising approximately 4,745 units including the Jurong Lake District white site and Orchard Boulevard — will take two to four years to develop and launch. GLS awards made in 2H2026 will therefore result in new projects entering the market approximately in 2028 to 2030. For buyers considering new launches in 2026 or 2027, the GLS pipeline primarily affects expectations about the medium-term supply environment rather than the immediate availability of units. It also provides comfort that the government is managing supply actively — a signal that extreme price surges, as seen in 2021 to 2023, are unlikely to recur in this cycle.

Can Singapore Citizens pay ABSD in CPF?

No. ABSD — including the 20% levied on Singapore Citizens purchasing a second property — must be paid entirely in cash. Only Buyer’s Stamp Duty (BSD) may be paid from the CPF Ordinary Account (for properties purchased for occupation, not purely for investment). For a second property purchase at S$1.65 million, the ABSD of S$330,000 must be funded from cash savings. If the buyer is a Singapore Citizen couple who currently own one HDB flat and are purchasing a private property with intent to sell the HDB within 6 months of the new property’s completion, they may qualify for a full ABSD remission under the SC Couple Remission Scheme — in which case the S$330,000 is paid upfront and later refunded by the Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore (IRAS).

Disclaimer

This article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or property investment advice. All property price data is sourced from official releases by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and the Housing & Development Board (HDB). ABSD rates, BSD rates, CPF rules, LTV limits, and TDSR thresholds are correct as at June 2026 and are subject to change without notice. Readers should verify current rates at ura.gov.sg, hdb.gov.sg, iras.gov.sg, and mas.gov.sg before making any property transaction. All worked examples use illustrative figures; individual circumstances vary. Consult a licensed mortgage broker, conveyancing solicitor, and CEA-registered property agent for advice specific to your situation.

Singapore Property Market Mid-Year Outlook 2026: Prices, Trends and What the Second Half Holds

by Lovelyhomes Editorial Team | Jun 18, 2026 | Investment Analysis, Market Reports, Price Trends, Property News, Property Reviews & Analysis, Property Trends, Resources & Tools

Quick Answer: Singapore Property Market Mid-Year 2026

Private residential prices rose 0.9% in Q1 2026 — the sixth consecutive quarter of increase, with the price index reaching 208.8 (2009 Q1 = 100).
HDB resale prices edged down 0.1% in Q1 2026 — the first quarterly decline since Q1 2023, though the Resale Price Index remains at a historically elevated 183.1.
Suburbs (OCR) led price gains at 2.2% QoQ, outpacing the city fringe (RCR) at 0.8% and prime districts (CCR) at 0.3%.
42,561 private units in the pipeline as at Q1 2026, with 17,032 remaining unsold — adequate supply is expected to keep price growth measured in 2H 2026.
Full-year 2026 forecast: industry research desks project approximately 3% private residential price growth, with suburban condominiums and mid-market segments continuing to outperform.
River Valley Green (Parcel C) tender closed today (18 June 2026) — award expected in approximately four weeks; signals continued institutional appetite for prime residential land.

Singapore’s property market enters the second half of 2026 in a state of cautious optimism. Prices are rising, but at a measured pace that reflects both MAS cooling measures and tighter buyer affordability. Transaction volumes have moderated, yet well-located new launches continue to see strong take-up at launch weekends. This mid-year analysis draws on URA and HDB Q1 2026 data — the most current available — to assess where the market stands and what the second half may hold.

Private Residential Market: Six Quarters of Unbroken Growth

The URA Private Residential Property Price Index reached 208.8 in Q1 2026, up 0.9% from Q4 2025’s 206.9. This marks six consecutive quarters of positive growth — a run that began after the brief pause in Q1 2023 following the April 2023 cooling measure increase. The cumulative gain since Q1 2023 (190.5) stands at 9.6%, equivalent to a modest but consistent appreciation trajectory.

Singapore private residential price index PPI and HDB resale price index RPI trend Q1 2020 to Q1 2026 — Figure 1: Singapore Private Residential Price Index (PPI) vs HDB Resale Price Index (RPI) — Q1 2020 to Q1 2026. Source: URA, HDB

The trajectory in Figure 1 reveals a key structural shift: the steep post-2021 rise has moderated into a gentle upward slope, suggesting that the market has absorbed the 2023 cooling measures and found a new equilibrium. Critically, prices have not corrected significantly — the cooling measures slowed momentum rather than reversed it.

OCR Leads: Suburban Condominiums Driving Growth

Not all segments of the private market moved equally in Q1 2026. The Outside Central Region (OCR) — encompassing HDB upgrader demand in the suburbs — recorded the strongest growth at 2.2% QoQ, against the Rest of Central Region (RCR) at 0.8% and the Core Central Region (CCR) at 0.3%. This pattern has been consistent since 2023 and reflects a structural demand driver: the large cohort of HDB flat owners whose Minimum Occupation Periods are maturing, giving them access to their CPF proceeds and equity to fund private property purchases.

Singapore private non-landed property price growth by region OCR RCR CCR Q1 2026 — Figure 2: Singapore Private Non-Landed Price Growth by Region — Q1 2026 (QoQ and YoY). Source: URA

The year-on-year (YoY) figures reinforce the OCR leadership: at 3.8% YoY, suburban condominiums have outperformed the island-wide average of 2.63%. For buyers targeting long-term capital appreciation, the data continues to favour well-located OCR projects near MRT stations in growth corridors such as Punggol Digital District, Jurong Lake District, and Woodlands Regional Centre.

HDB Resale: The First Dip in Three Years

The HDB Resale Price Index registered a marginal -0.1% in Q1 2026 — the first quarterly decline since Q1 2023. This does not signal a market downturn; at 183.1, the RPI remains close to its all-time high (183.1 in Q4 2025) and the volume of million-dollar HDB transactions remained elevated in early 2026. Rather, the mild softening reflects a combination of factors: the additional 30-month wait for buyers with prior private property experience, the expanded HDB BTO supply pipeline, and general affordability pressure at the upper end of the HDB resale market.

For HDB upgraders, the moderation in resale prices may actually be beneficial — it reduces the risk of overpaying for an HDB flat just before a condo purchase, as the HDB asset they are selling remains close to peak value whilst the risk of further HDB price acceleration is tempered. Read our HDB Resale Flat Prices Guide 2026 for detailed data by flat type and town.

Supply: 42,561 Units in the Pipeline

As at Q1 2026, URA reports 42,561 private residential units (including Executive Condominiums) with planning approval, of which 17,032 remain unsold by developers. This inventory level is above the recent 5-year average of approximately 14,000 unsold units, providing a meaningful supply buffer against price spikes in 2H 2026 and into 2027.

Market Segment	Q1 2026 Price Change (QoQ)	YoY Change	2H 2026 View
Private Non-Landed (OCR)	+2.2%	+3.8%	Continued support from HDB upgrader demand
Private Non-Landed (RCR)	+0.8%	+2.1%	Selective strength; site-specific
Private Non-Landed (CCR)	+0.3%	+1.2%	Muted; foreign buyer ABSD effect persists
Landed Residential	+0.5%	+1.8%	Constrained supply; stable demand
HDB Resale (RPI)	−0.1%	+1.5%	Mild moderation; supported by BTO delays

GLS Market: River Valley Green Parcel C Closes Today

The Government Land Sales (GLS) market provided a timely data point today (18 June 2026) as the tender for River Valley Green (Parcel C) closed at noon. This 11,516 sqm site next to Great World City MRT station — the last undeveloped plot in the River Valley Green enclave — is expected to yield approximately 470 residential units. The adjacent Parcel B attracted five bids when it closed in February 2025 at a land rate of $1,420 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr).

The tender award (expected in approximately 4 weeks) will be a closely watched indicator of developer confidence in the prime residential segment. A land rate above $1,500 psf ppr would signal continued appetite for CCR sites despite the 60% ABSD on foreign buyers. The 2H 2026 GLS programme, which HDB and URA released in June, continues to inject supply — particularly in the suburban corridors.

What Might Come Next: Second Half 2026 Outlook

The following is forward-looking analysis, not a price forecast or investment advice.

The consensus view from industry research desks points to full-year 2026 private residential price growth of approximately 3%, with OCR non-landed leading and CCR lagging. Three factors could alter this trajectory in either direction:

MAS interest rate environment: SORA-linked floating rates remain at approximately 3.0–3.4% as at June 2026. Any reduction in US Federal Reserve rates — expected by some analysts in late 2026 — would ease SORA and reduce effective mortgage costs for Singapore borrowers, potentially stimulating upgrader activity in Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
ABSD policy review: The government has signalled no near-term review of ABSD rates. Any reduction of the SC second-property rate (currently 20%) would significantly unlock pent-up HDB upgrader demand. Conversely, any further increase would weigh on the OCR segment that has been the market’s growth engine.
New launch pipeline quality: Several large-scale OCR new launches are expected in 2H 2026 from GLS sites awarded in 2024–2025. Strong opening weekends at these launches would validate the upgrader demand thesis; weak take-up would signal affordability limits have been reached at current price points.

What This Means for Buyers in Mid-2026

For first-time buyers: the market is not cheap, but it is not in a speculative bubble either. Price growth is moderate, supply is adequate, and interest rates — whilst elevated versus 2021 — are stable. If your financial position qualifies you for a bank loan and your timeline is 5 years or longer, the current environment does not present an extraordinary risk of a sharp near-term correction.

For HDB upgraders: the HDB-to-private upgrade window remains open. HDB resale values are near peak, giving you maximum equity to deploy. The OCR condo segment continues to see the strongest demand from buyers in similar circumstances to yours — buy into quality, not just momentum. See our HDB Upgrader Condo Buying Guide 2026 for a full financial roadmap.

For investors: the rental market remained resilient through early 2026 despite earlier forecasts of rental corrections. Gross yields for well-located OCR condos are approximately 3.0–3.8%, providing a positive carry on leveraged purchases at current bank rates. Rental income is taxable — see our Singapore Property Rental Income Tax Guide 2026 for the full IRAS framework.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I find official Singapore property price data?

URA publishes quarterly private residential price statistics at ura.gov.sg. The Urban Redevelopment Authority releases flash estimates in the first week of each new quarter, followed by full statistics approximately 4–5 weeks later. HDB publishes its Resale Price Index and transaction data at hdb.gov.sg. Both datasets are freely available and updated quarterly.

What is the difference between the PPI and individual condo prices?

The URA Private Property Price Index (PPI) is a volume-weighted aggregate index of all private residential transactions island-wide. Individual condo prices can diverge significantly from the PPI — a new launch in a prime location may appreciate 10% in a year whilst the PPI rises 2%. Use the PPI as a broad directional indicator, but base purchase and sale decisions on comparable transaction (caveats) data for the specific development or district you are evaluating.

Will the River Valley Green Parcel C award affect condo prices in the area?

GLS land awards typically influence pricing in the surrounding micro-market. A high land rate at River Valley Green Parcel C would signal developer confidence in the Great World City / River Valley corridor and may support asking prices at nearby resale condos (including the completed Parcel A and Parcel B projects). However, new launch pricing from the awarded parcel is unlikely to enter the market for 3–4 years (construction to TOP), so the near-term impact on existing resale condos is mostly psychological.

Has the 30-month wait for private property sellers affected the resale market?

Yes. The 30-month wait — introduced in September 2022 — requires sellers of private residential properties to wait 30 months before they can purchase an HDB resale flat (if they intend to downgrade). This has reduced the supply of private resale properties from buyers who might otherwise have sold to downgrade into an HDB flat. The effect has been most visible in reducing transaction volume at the lower end of the condo market (1-bedroom to 2-bedroom units in the OCR priced below $1.5M), where owner-occupiers seeking to downgrade to HDB have been deterred from selling.

When will URA release Q2 2026 flash estimates?

URA typically releases quarterly flash estimates in the first week of the following quarter. Q2 2026 flash estimates are expected in the first week of July 2026, with full Q2 2026 statistics released approximately 4–5 weeks thereafter (likely early-to-mid August 2026). LovelyHomes will publish a full analysis immediately upon release — bookmark our Q2 2026 URA Flash Estimates page for that update.

Related LovelyHomes Guides

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on publicly available data from URA and HDB as at Q1 2026 and does not constitute investment, financial, or property advice. Property prices can rise or fall; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial adviser and accredited property agent before making any property investment decision. Official sources: ura.gov.sg, hdb.gov.sg, mas.gov.sg.

Peck Hay Road GLS Awarded to CDL-Hong Leong JV at S$1,865 PSF PPR: What Buyers Need to Know

by Lovelyhomes Editorial Team | Jun 12, 2026 | GLS & Land Sales, Investment Analysis, Market News, Market Reports, Property News, Property Trends

📌 Quick Answer: Peck Hay Road GLS Award (June 2026)

Winner: City Developments Limited (CDL) and Hong Realty (a Hong Leong Group subsidiary) joint venture, with a top bid of S$542.4 million or S$1,865 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr).
Four bids were received when the tender closed on 11 June 2026, with the CDL-Hong Leong JV coming in 8.4% above the second-highest bidder (Sunway MCL Land & CSC Land Group at S$1,720 psf ppr).
Development potential: The 0.55-hectare site in the Newton area (District 11, CCR) has a gross plot ratio of 4.9 and is expected to yield approximately 315 private residential units.
Projected launch price: Industry observers estimate an average selling price of approximately S$3,600–S$4,000 psf, based on the winning land rate and current CCR construction costs.
Market signal: The confident bidding — four bids, strong premium over second — reflects continued developer conviction in prime Singapore residential despite global headwinds.

Singapore’s Newton District Gets a New Landmark: Peck Hay Road GLS Awarded

The Government Land Sale (GLS) site at Peck Hay Road, Newton, has been awarded to a joint venture between City Developments Limited (CDL) and Hong Realty Private Limited, a subsidiary of the Hong Leong Group, following the close of the tender on 11 June 2026. The winning bid of S$542.4 million — equivalent to S$1,865 psf per plot ratio — sets a new benchmark for land rates in the Newton corridor and is the highest price paid for a residential GLS site in the District 11 area in recent memory.

The site sits within a short walk of Newton MRT Station (North-South Line and Downtown Line interchange) in the prime Core Central Region (CCR), minutes from the Orchard Road shopping belt. It is a rare land parcel in a district that has seen virtually no new GLS activity in recent years, making the award a significant event for luxury property buyers and investors who have been waiting for a premium new launch in Newton.

Peck Hay Road GLS tender results 2026 — all four bidders land rate and total bid CDL Hong Leong winner — Figure 1: Peck Hay Road GLS Tender Results — four bids received; CDL-Hong Leong JV won at S$1,865 psf ppr, 8.4% above the second bidder (S$1,720 psf ppr). Tender closed 11 June 2026.

The Bid Results: Four Credible Bids Signal Developer Confidence

The tender drew four bids from established developers — a healthy response by Singapore GLS standards in 2026, where some suburban sites have attracted only two or three bids. The bid results in full:

Bidder	Total Bid	Land Rate (psf ppr)	Premium vs 2nd
CDL & Hong Realty JV 🏆	S$542.4M	S$1,865	+8.4%
Sunway MCL Land & CSC Land Group JV	S$500.2M	S$1,720	—
China Overseas Land & Investment	S$460.3M	S$1,583	—
Hong Leong Holdings & TID JV	S$459.5M	S$1,580	—

Source: URA, tender results 11 June 2026. Land area: 5,578 sqm (0.55 ha). GFA: 27,330 sqm. Gross plot ratio: 4.9. Maximum 315 residential units.

The spread between the highest and lowest bids — roughly 18% — is relatively tight for a prime CCR site, suggesting broad alignment among developers on the land’s underlying value. The 8.4% premium that CDL-Hong Leong paid over the second bidder is, by itself, a meaningful commitment to capturing this particular site, likely driven by both parties’ existing pipeline management and brand positioning in the District 11 premium segment.

Notable: Hong Leong Group entities placed two separate bids — via the CDL-Hong Realty JV (winner) and via Hong Leong Holdings-TID JV (fourth place). This is not unusual for large property groups with multiple subsidiaries; different legal entities bid independently and the group as a whole gains optionality on the outcome.

Site Details and Development Parameters

The Peck Hay Road GLS site is located at the intersection of Peck Hay Road and Bukit Timah Road — a prestigious address within the Newton estate. Key development parameters set by URA in the tender conditions:

Parameter	Specification
Land area	5,578 sqm (approximately 0.55 hectares)
Gross plot ratio	4.9
Maximum GFA (residential)	27,330 sqm
Permitted use	Residential
Estimated unit count	Approximately 315 units
Tenure	99-year leasehold
District	District 11, Core Central Region (CCR)
Nearest MRT	Newton (NS21/DT11) — approximately 300m

The 99-year leasehold tenure is standard for GLS sites in Singapore’s CCR. The site’s location within a short walk of Newton MRT — one of only two MRT interchanges south of the PIE in the CCR — gives it exceptional connectivity: Downtown Line trains reach Marina Bay in approximately 12 minutes, and North-South Line trains reach Orchard in two stops.

Newton CCR corridor GLS land rates historical context 2016-2026 — Peck Hay Road new benchmark psf ppr — Figure 2: Newton and CCR corridor GLS land rates in historical context — the Peck Hay Road award at S$1,865 psf ppr sets a new benchmark for the Newton/CCR precinct, exceeding the previous Bukit Timah Road benchmark of S$1,720 psf ppr (2022).

What Will the Future Development Be Called and How Much Will It Cost?

CDL and Hong Leong have not yet released a project name or official launch timeline. Based on the winning land rate of S$1,865 psf ppr, plus typical construction costs, professional fees, developer profit margin, and marketing costs in the current environment, industry observers estimate a break-even cost of approximately S$3,100–S$3,300 psf and an anticipated average launch price of S$3,600–S$4,000 psf — potentially pushing above S$4,000 psf for premium high-floor or penthouse units with city or Bukit Timah Hill views.

At S$3,800 psf, a typical 1,000 sqft 2-bedroom unit would be priced at approximately S$3,800,000. A 1,500 sqft 3-bedroom unit would approach S$5,700,000. This places the development squarely in CCR luxury territory, targeting high-net-worth buyers — predominantly Singapore Citizens and Permanent Residents given the 60% ABSD applicable to foreigners.

The typical timeline from GLS award to project launch in Singapore is 18–30 months, meaning the Peck Hay Road development could expect to preview in late 2027 or 2028. CDL has a strong track record in the CCR, having previously developed Gramercy Park (84 units, Grange Road) and New Futura (124 units, Leonie Hill), both considered exemplars of luxury Singapore residential design.

What This Means for the Newton Property Market

The award has several implications for Newton and broader CCR buyers and sellers:

Benchmark land rate effect: At S$1,865 psf ppr, this site establishes a new data point that developers, valuers, and banks will reference in assessing residual land values and resale property prices in the Newton, Novena, and Moulmein precincts. Owners of existing CCR condos in the area may find that their properties are valued slightly higher in subsequent bank valuations, reflecting the premium paid for new land.

Supply context: With only approximately 315 units, this development will not materially alter CCR supply dynamics. The total CCR pipeline (units under construction or recently launched but unsold) remains manageable, and the Newton micro-market has seen almost no significant new launches since the Neu At Novena and Pullman Residences projects. The scarcity of prime Newton new launches is itself a pricing support for the future development.

Buyer profile: At the projected S$3,800–S$4,000 psf, this development will largely serve the Singapore affluent and ultra-high-net-worth segment, alongside institutional and family-office buyers. Given the 60% ABSD applicable to foreign nationals (with limited FTA exemptions for US, Swiss, and selected other nationals), the buyer pool will be predominantly local, supplemented by Permanent Residents and FTA-exempt nationalities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a GLS tender, and how does it work?

A Government Land Sale (GLS) tender is the process by which the Singapore Land Authority (SLA), on behalf of the government, releases state land for private development by selling it to the highest qualified bidder. GLS sites are released on a Confirmed List (sites that will definitely be tendered) or a Reserve List (sites that can be triggered by developer application). The Peck Hay Road site was on the Confirmed List for the 1H 2026 GLS Programme. Developers submit sealed bids by the tender closing date; the site is typically awarded to the highest bidder, provided the bid exceeds the government’s reserve price. The winning developer pays the full bid price to the state and then develops the land within the conditions set by the Planning Permission.

What is “psf ppr” and why is it used for GLS bids?

PSF PPR stands for “per square foot per plot ratio.” It is the standard metric for comparing GLS bids because it normalises land costs across sites of different sizes and different development densities. For example, a site with a gross plot ratio (GPR) of 4.9 can yield 4.9 times its land area in gross floor area (GFA). Multiplying the site area by the GPR gives the allowable GFA. The land cost per square foot of GFA is then a direct input into the developer’s break-even cost analysis. A higher psf ppr means a higher land cost per unit of development floor area, which in turn implies a higher launch price is needed to achieve a viable profit margin.

When will the CDL-Hong Leong Newton development launch?

No official launch timeline has been announced. Typically, after a GLS award the developer spends 6–12 months on design, planning, and regulatory approvals (including URA Written Permission) before commencing construction, and a further 12–18 months before the first public preview. Based on this typical timeline, the Peck Hay Road development is likely to preview in late 2027 or mid-to-late 2028. LovelyHomes will publish a dedicated New Launch project page when CDL-Hong Leong announces the project name, preview date, and unit mix.

Can foreigners buy units in this development?

Yes — private condominiums in Singapore are open to foreign buyers. However, foreigners pay a 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) on the full purchase price in addition to the standard Buyer’s Stamp Duty (BSD). At an estimated purchase price of S$3.8M per unit, the ABSD alone would be S$2.28M, making the total acquisition cost approximately S$6.1M+ for a foreign buyer. Nationals from the United States, Switzerland, Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway are exempt from ABSD under their respective Free Trade Agreements with Singapore, making the development more accessible to buyers from those countries.

What other CCR GLS sites are coming up?

The River Valley Green (Parcel C) tender — a mixed-use site in District 9 — closes on 18 June 2026. The outcome of that tender will provide another data point on developer appetite for prime Singapore residential land in mid-2026. Beyond that, the 2H 2026 GLS Programme (announced 3 June 2026) includes one CCR confirmed-list residential site. LovelyHomes will publish coverage of each GLS award as results are announced.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available information from URA, property research platforms, and industry commentary as of 12 June 2026. Projected launch prices and development timelines are illustrative estimates based on land rate analysis and historical precedents — they are not confirmed by CDL, Hong Leong Group, or any official source. Property prices, market conditions, and government policy may change. This article does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any property, nor financial or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own due diligence and consult a licensed property agent and financial adviser before making any property investment decision. For official GLS information, visit URA.gov.sg.

« Older Entries

URA Q2 2026 Flash Estimates: Singapore Private Home Prices Rise +0.5%, CCR Leads as RCR and OCR Soften

The Q2 2026 Flash Estimate in Context

Segment-by-Segment Analysis

Transaction Volume: Stable Demand

Supply Pipeline: Government Accelerating Delivery

What This Means for Buyers, Sellers, and Investors

What Might Come Next: Full Q2 Data on 24 July 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Articles

Singapore Property Market Forecast 2H 2026: Price Outlook, Key Risks and What Buyers Should Know

Quick Answer: Singapore Property Market Forecast 2H 2026

H1 2026 in Review: Where the Singapore Property Market Stands

Private Residential Market: A Three-Speed Story

HDB Resale Market: A Healthy Pause, Not a Reversal

Developer Sales and the New Launch Pipeline

Rental Market: Correction Underway, Yields Compressing

2H 2026 Market Outlook Summary

Worked Example: The Chen Family — Buy in 2H 2026 or Wait?

What Might Come Next: Risks and Catalysts for 2H 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Articles

Singapore Property Sentiment Q1 2026: NUS RESI Holds at 5.1 as Future Outlook Improves

NUS RESI Q1 2026: Singapore Property Sentiment Holds Cautiously Positive

Current Sentiment Softens; Future Outlook Improves

Residential Sector: Net Balance +32%, the Strongest Across All Sectors

Commercial and Industrial Sectors: More Cautious Readings

NUS RESI Q1 2026: Key Readings

What the Q1 2026 RESI Reading Means for Buyers and Sellers

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Articles

Singapore Property Market Mid-Year Review 2026: H1 Results, Price Trends and 2H Outlook

Quick Answer: Singapore Property Market Mid-Year Review 2026

Introduction: Where Singapore Property Stands at Mid-Year 2026

Private Residential Market: Sixth Consecutive Quarter of Growth

HDB Resale Market: First Price Dip in Seven Years

New Launch and Developer Sales: Volatile Monthly Figures, Steady Fundamentals

Rental Market: Supply Headwinds Keep Rents Soft

Supply Pipeline and the 2H2026 GLS Programme

Key H1 2026 Metrics at a Glance

Worked Example: The Lim Family — Deciding Whether to Buy in H2 2026

Why H1 2026 Data Matters for Buyers, Sellers and Investors

What Might Come Next in H2 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Articles

Disclaimer

Singapore Property Market Mid-Year Outlook 2026: Prices, Trends and What the Second Half Holds

Quick Answer: Singapore Property Market Mid-Year 2026

Private Residential Market: Six Quarters of Unbroken Growth

OCR Leads: Suburban Condominiums Driving Growth

HDB Resale: The First Dip in Three Years

Supply: 42,561 Units in the Pipeline

GLS Market: River Valley Green Parcel C Closes Today

What Might Come Next: Second Half 2026 Outlook

What This Means for Buyers in Mid-2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Related LovelyHomes Guides

Peck Hay Road GLS Awarded to CDL-Hong Leong JV at S$1,865 PSF PPR: What Buyers Need to Know

📌 Quick Answer: Peck Hay Road GLS Award (June 2026)

Singapore’s Newton District Gets a New Landmark: Peck Hay Road GLS Awarded

The Bid Results: Four Credible Bids Signal Developer Confidence

Site Details and Development Parameters

What Will the Future Development Be Called and How Much Will It Cost?

What This Means for the Newton Property Market

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Articles

Further Reading: Singapore CCR Property and Market Analysis

Recent Posts

Recent Comments